Four (Not So) Preposterous Predictions: Duke

Ty Montgomery dropped a sure touchdown pass against San Jose State.


1. Ty Montgomery will have at least three TD catches.

Why it's preposterous: Montgomery has two career touchdown catches and only had 49 receiving yards in last week's win over San Jose State. Josh Nunes threw for 125 yards against the Spartans.

Why it could happen: The Blue Devils' secondary is experienced, but not especially strong. Duke allowed 8.7 passing yards per attempt last season, which was tied for the fifth-worst mark in the FBS, and David Cutcliffe's squad didn't fare much better against FIU. Golden Panthers quarterback Jason Medlock threw for 348 yards and two touchdowns while averaging 7.6 yards per attempt last week. Montgomery was Nunes' go-to receiver against San Jose State and dropped a sure touchdown on a deep ball.


2. Sean Renfree will pass for fewer than 200 yards.

Why it's preposterous: Renfree has thrown for fewer than 200 yards only six times in his last 25 games, and the senior threw for 290 yards in Duke's season-opening win over Florida International. The Cardinal held one opponent (Oregon) to fewer than 200 yards passing last season. Renfree's favorite receiver is Conner Vernon, who had 10 catches last week to set the all-time Duke career record. The Cardinal pass defense looked soft against San Jose State, allowing 216 yards passing in a close, low-scoring game to a quarterback making his first career start.

Why it could happen: Shayne Skov returns from his one-game suspension, which could ignite a pass rush that managed only two sacks against the Spartans and wasn't particularly disruptive. Stanford had six sacks against Duke last season, which brings us to...


3. Stanford will have at least six sacks.

Why it's preposterous: Duke allowed 18 sacks all of last season, which ranked 34th nationally. The Blue Devils didn't allow any sacks to FIU. Also, six sacks is a lot of sacks.

Why it could happen: Did we mention Shayne Skov was returning?


4. Stanford will score at least 45 points.

Why it's preposterous: As good as the Cardinal's offense was last season with Andrew Luck at the controls, it scored at least 45 points in fewer than half its games. Twelve of the 26 points Duke allowed against FIU came in the fourth quarter against second-stringers after the Blue Devils had built a 44-14 lead. The Cardinal didn't exactly look explosive against the Spartans.

Why it could happen: Stanford has had a week to iron out the kinks on offense and will be eager to show that last week's performance was an aberration.

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