Stanford 20, San Jose State 17: Nunes & Amanam Impressive, Defense Not-so-much, Remember UC Davis?

Stanford QB Josh Nunes was one of the (few) bright spots in the Cardinal's 20-17 win over San Jose State at Stanford Stadium Friday night.


Yep, that pretty much sums it up.

In what had me thinking, and I'm sure many of you out there reading this, about that disastrous UC Davis game from 2005, Stanford nearly gave away a game it should have been winning by several touchdowns in the second half. The lauded defensive line? Definitely nowhere near being in the top half of the Pac-12 right now. The offensive line? The running game was basically shut down the second half, so what does that say? The Wildcat? If it's not going to work against SJSU, Coach Shaw, it's not going to work later in the season.

The San Jose St. Spartans are not the same team they were last year when they rolled over and played dead for a top-10 ranked Stanford team that beat them 57-3. This team looked worked up, energized, and ready to play this year. Their passing, led by junior transfer David Fales, was leaps and bounds better than last year's season opener. In fact, San Jose State actually outgained Stanford in yardage 288-280. If it wasn't for a seemingly miraculous interception by junior free safety Ed Reynolds on San Jose State's final drive, coupled with former goat Jordan Williamson hitting on all his kicks (save for a kickoff that went out of bounds), this very well could have been a story about Stanford dropping its first ever Friday night home game and first season opener since 2007.

What concerns me the most is Stanford's defense, including its secondary. It actually looks like Stanford regressed in its downfield coverage from last year, if that's even possible. The first half saw Stanford hold SJSU to only a field goal. The offense managed to score two touchdowns on its first two drives while the Spartans were kept well away from the endzone all but once. The second half, though, Fales, along with standout wide receiver Noel Grigsby, made Stanford's safeties and backs look like they were lost, not to mention that the Spartans' running game was given basically rights-of-way down the center of the field. San Jose State came out of the half and scored two touchdowns on their first two drives to tie the score 17-17 by the end of the third quarter. Shaw did make note, at least on defense, that one of the things that he was not pleased with in his postgame press conference on the Pac-12 Networks was that his linemen were staying blocked -- it's alright to get blocked, but unacceptable to stay blocked.

Compounding the problem was the Cardinal's inability to get anything on the ground offensively in the second half. It wasn't that Stepfan Taylor and Anthony Wilkerson weren't getting the ball enough. Together, the running backs carried the ball 32 times for 147 yards. Averaged out, though, they got approximately 4.25 yards per carry. Usually this would be a relatively decent run, but when you're given a running play on 3rd and long, just over four yards isn't going to get you the first down. Another interesting rushing stat: Stanford ran for only 34 yards in the final two quarters. Coach Shaw or whoever was calling those rushing plays needs to reevaluate their decisions or reevaluate their guys on the OLine.

This game didn't stink completely, though. Josh Nunes showed himself to be a capable game manager for the most part. Did he throw some bad throws? Yeah. Did he make some bad decisions? Sure. Was he slow to get the ball out of his hands, even under pressure? More than once. But no one can expect Nunes to be the second coming of Luck, especially in his first career start. For the challenges he was given today (following Luck on the Farm, Shaw starting 10 true freshmen after playing only four all last year), Nunes wasn't all that bad. Going 16-25 in his first start actually proved to be a better efficiency mark than Andrew Luck had in his debut against Washington State in 2009. Even though the close game may not quiet those "experts" who say Stanford has no chance at being good without Luck this year, I feel reasonably confident about having Nunes under center this year.

Another standout player was Usua Amanam. If you had the opportunity to see the game, you'd see what I mean. His name kept popping up during the game while Stanford was on defense. He's going to be an amazing guy as the season goes on. The Senior nickelback had a game-best 4 tackles for a loss of 23 yards, and two sacks for a loss of 17 yards. Amanam almost carried the entire defense on his back during the fourth quarter. He even threw in a fumble recovery to boot.

Stanford football is back, and by the looks of it, still needs to dust some cobwebs off. This was not a pretty win, by any account. If you're having lumps in your stomach watching the first game of the season against a team that won only four games last season that you beat by 54 points, that's not a good thing. Going 2-13 on third down, being outthrown by 91 yards at home, and a defense falling flat on its face after being called one of the best in the country is bad news. Suddenly Duke (!) at home is no longer an assured victory. They did, after all, grab a pick-6 from Luck and gave the Cardinal fits last year. It's going to be a long week, but Stanford has eight days to regroup, recompose itself, and look a whole heck of a lot better than it did against San Jose State.

Comments

Not sure what was impressive about Nunes

He made good reads and good decisions from time to time but had 125 yards against a weak San Jose St. defense. There was no threat of a big play because he has no arm and showed that on several occasions.

At this point, Shaw needs to see what he has (in game) with Nottingham because I just don’t see any potential in Nunes.

The second coming of Luck is at least 30 years away.

If Ty Montgomery hauls in that sure touchdown, Nunes’ numbers look a lot better and maybe Stanford blows this one open. Given the pressure he faced — some of it brought on by holding onto the ball too long — Nunes did well to not commit any turnovers. In a game as close as last night’s that could’ve been the difference in the game.

Defense is the bigger concern heading into next week, in my opinion.

In ’09 I saw Stanford play WA. Luck threw a pick-6 right into the arms of a UW defender. Terrible.

Fortunately Harbaugh immediately replaced Luck with Tavita Pritchard, and behind Toby Gerhart’s running and Chris Owusu’s kick returns, Stanford went on to win the game and have a successful season.

Whatever became of that Luck guy, anyway?

I think he became a graduate assistant.

Early Season Prospects

Coach Shaw is consistent – “You can tell how good a player is by how he responds after a bad play.” The same for the team. They have eight days, and from the press conference, they know they have an enormous task ahead of them. They get it. Remember last year? There were questions about “re-loading” the O-line, but the schedule gave them 7 easier games at the start to settle that in (USC was Game 8). The team we saw in October 2011 was a different team than in September 2011. Whether this year we seem the same mid-year gelling, the same stepping-up, the same ready-to-play performance is the question. And when.

This year there is a juggernaut USC team arriving on Week 3, and a very tough away game on Week 4.5 at UW. Whatever those outcomes, the next game at home against UA (a team probably comparable to SJSU or Duke as a threat) on Oct. 6 will show us if the team character is consistent: improving week by week, and doing so in a way that proves the case for Stanford as a football institution.

Against UA they will either show that have improved dramatically since SJSU and Duke, which will bode well for the upcoming road trip against ND and Cal, and maybe even give us some hope for Oregon. Or they won’t.

On Oct 6, basically, we will see if this team will go 9-3 or 7-5…or even 6-6. It’s early, but the season is now underway.

Here we go.

Agreed...

I didn’t expect much out of this first game – as Cal has shown, it could’ve been much, much worse! The true key will be to see how they recover, and to watch for signs of improvement as the season goes on…

Defense!!

The D was impressive in the 2nd half, with SJSU going 3 and out their last 5 possessions. It was not by chance that during that same stretch, last year’s leading tackler, Jarek Lancaster, was on the field after replacing hightly touted Vaughters. They need to figure out a way to keep Lancaster on the field, that guy is a leader! Pass rush was not as stout as I think it will be, but more concerns on the deep secondary, as receivers kept finding light. With Skov’s return, this D will become stronger with each week! GO CARD!

The Best Outcome for Week 2

The best outcome for Week 2 will be a win, but not by much. If by too much, USC would notice the dramatic improvement and not let their guard down. But if it is a win just barely, just barely, then there is a chance that continued improvement could catch part of the Trojans by surprise. For that game, making it a game is the best outcome.

The worst outcome for Week 3 is such a traumatic beat-down that the team struggles to recover any swagger until Nov 10 (home vs. Oregon State). The keys to keeping that from happening is tighter CB play; a more diverse and consistent offense; and a cohesive OL.

I think I would much rather see a vast improvement against Duke and have USC on their guard. I wasn’t counting on a win against them anyway. Just want a hard fought close game. The way the team looked on Friday has me thinking that if things don’t improve drastically, USC will be a blow out of epic proportions.

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