Stanford's season is confounding. They have two wins against ranked opponents, beating USC and Oregon, but they've lost every other in conference game.
When you have the talent to be able to compete with the best that the PAC-12 has to offer, or in Oregon's case, the best the country has to offer, it's crazy that Stanford has been so bad against the rest of their schedule.
The goal now has to be to drag themselves out of the cellar. To do that, they're going to need to win their next two games. That means heading up to Oregon and knocking off Oregon State.
Oddsmakers don't like Stanford in this one. The Cardinals are 12.5 point underdogs, and they're given +380 odds to win the game outright. That's an implied 20.8% chance to pull off the upset. Meanwhile, Oregon State is given -475 odds, or an implied 82.6% chance to win the game.
Stanford and Oregon State have played each other 87 times in their history. Stanford has won 59 of those games, and recent history has been even better.
The Cardinals have won the last 11 games against Oregon State. The margin of victory in those 11 games was 15.1 points.
However, things had gotten tight the last two times these teams have played. Stanford won both by just 3 points. So, it's been clear for a little while that Oregon State has been improving.
Stanford needs this win if they're going to have any shot at a bowl game. That would be only the second time that David Shaw failed to get to a bowl game since becoming Stanford head coach, the first was in 2019.
Given Stanford's poor performances over the last 3 years, it's possible that Shaw may be coaching for his job this year. That means he needs this win over Oregon State.