It's that time of year: Is Johnny Dawkins officially on the hot seat?
Some of you know that I've not been the biggest fan of this coaching staff, especially last year when there was untapped talent that was going haywire on the court. I would say that this year has seen substantial improvement over last year's debacles.
But is that enough?
Jon Wilner has ridiculed Stanford Basketball for much of the past three years, and with good reason. The league has been terrible -- TERRIBLE -- the past few years. Yet Stanford has finished with a winning record only two times since Trent Johnson left for LSU. Last year was supposed to be different. With one of the highest rated freshmen classes coming in to Stanford, Cardinal basketball was supposed to get better.
It didn't. Unless you count going from 14-18 to 15-16 as unqualified success. When you lose to an 11-win Oregon State team in the play-in game for your conference tournament, though, one year after making it to the semi-finals, that suggests there are serious issues with the team.
Sure, Landry Fields, arguably the best player in the league in 2010, moved on to notoriety with the Knicks in the Big Apple. Was his absence, though, enough to warrant little improvement in the offense for Stanford?
The past is the past, though, and we're now a little less than a month away from the end of the 2011-2012 regular season. In November, it seemed things had turned around for the team. A blowout win over Oklahoma State, a close loss to Syracuse in New York, and continued success at home seemed to imply that Stanford had finally turned a corner. Save for a bad home loss against a bad Butler team, Stanford did all that it was asked to in non-conference games and more.
When the calendar changed, though, and after Stanford had eeked a win against the Bruins followed by USC, you could tell the wheels were beginning to come loose. A loss to Oregon, while not totally unexpected, was not supposed to happen, especially considering Stanford's elevation of its offensive game (and making free throws at a greater than 50% rate). The multiple overtime game against OSU seemed somewhat baffling, but hey, a win's a win, right? That sentiment seemed to be backed up by the fact that Stanford crushed unexpected conference contender Colorado at home.
But then came the Washington schools. How in the world did Stanford shoot so horribly in Pullman? And let a team with a sub-.500 record come back from double digits in the second half to win? Why did Stanford look like lost high schoolers in Seattle? Why couldn't Stanford play a 40 minute game in Cal, especially when it managed to keep itself in the game for the first half? Did Stanford win against ASU because they shot well or the Sun Devils were just bad? Where did the offense go against Arizona that the team shot a combined sub-.300 from the field?
This wasn't supposed to happen, given the nature of the conference this year. Yet, at this point in the season, Stanford has gone from a 10-2 non-conference record to losing five of their past six to drop them down to 16-8 (6-6 in the conference after starting tied for first for the first three weeks). After last night's loss to UCLA, Stanford has not won a non-Staples Center game against the Bruins or Trojans since 2003-2004. That's 13-consecutive losses. While Trent Johnson didn't do anything to stop that skid, Johnny Dawkins hasn't done anything either.
And so we now come back to our head coach. Many people were baffled by the contract extension that was given to Dawkins last off-season. While we will likely never know what the various stipulations of the contract entailed, it is surely folly to think that AD Bob Bowlsby didn't have past history on his mind when he came to terms with Dawkins. That said, the natives are getting restless. I've made note in the past how the Stanford women have routinely outpaced their male counterparts in fan attendance and general enthusiasm, and the same holds true today. Last night, the Stanford women took on USC at home in a game that saw the lower bowl filled, but the upper bowl sparsely filled. I wouldn't be surprised to see even fewer when the men show up against Oregon State next week, and I fully expect Maples to be half Blue and Gold the final game of the season.
Are these things enough to warrant the end of Johnny Dawkins at Stanford? The man has done an excellent job with the defense, and most certainly can recruit, but he has yet to produce in the win department. While Stanford will likely have its best season (in terms of wins) since Trent Johnson took the Lopez twins to the Sweet Sixteen, is that enough? Or will the elevated expectations after the non-conference season doom Dawkins with a sub-par conference record?
These are the types of questions to begin to ask, if they haven't been asked already. We all know that Stanford basketball isn't what it once was. The question now, though, is how long Stanford and its fans will be willing to give Johnny Dawkins the opportunity to turn it around?
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Remains head coach, regardless of record
Bowlsby gave Dawkins a 2-year extension in July and would look a little foolish firing him now. (Congrats if you were among the nearly 50% of voters who thought that extension was a bad idea!)
I’ve said I’d withhold judgment until the end of the season, but I’m sad to say that I’m beginning to sour on Dawkins. It would be one thing if Stanford was getting beat by good teams. Injuries to Dwight Powell and Anthony Brown have obviously stunted their development as sophomores. A freshman is running the point. [Insert another excuse here.] But as RedOscar mentions, the Pac-12 is a joke this season.
The freshmen hit a wall last year. Fine. The lack of improvement throughout this season is concerning. This year’s team might’ve peaked against Syracuse at MSG. I sure hope the Cardinal proves me wrong over the next few weeks.
by Scott Allen on Feb 10, 2025 12:15 PM PST reply actions
Meh...
That deal was about recruiting. How good of a pitch can you make to a recruit when you’re on a lame-duck contract. The contract shouldn’t be a problem when it comes to the decision to let him go…
by RickeySteals on Feb 10, 2025 2:32 PM PST up reply actions
I’d probably give him another year, but I think he’s a mediocre coach at best.
by jksnake99 on Feb 10, 2025 12:51 PM PST reply actions
That doesn't make much sense to me
If your best case scenario is “mediocre,” then why waste time? Fire him now.
by dth1 on Feb 10, 2025 1:18 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah, I hear you. I guess I was saying mediocre at best now, and hoping he could improve as a coach while continuing to recruit well. I wouldn’t complain if they fired him now though, that’s for sure.
by jksnake99 on Feb 11, 2025 11:46 AM PST up reply actions
If the team can't take care of business against last-place U$C...
And if Dawkins can’t lead the team to a .500 (or better) record in the conference, then he has to go. The Pac-12 being terrible is not an excuse. We have a decent team this year and some of these double-digit losses are just absolutely head-scratching and bitterly disappointing. I’m getting restless to the point where I might not attend any more home games this year if we lose to $C.
There is still time left to salvage the season, but I’ve been bitterly disappointed by the team these past few weeks. I don’t blame the players—I can’t even begin to understand the pressure they must go through. But the coaching staff on the other hand…
Dawkins, you must beat U$C, Oregon State and Utah. Or else, we might have to give you the axe (the axe, the axe…)
by reportcard on Feb 10, 2025 2:26 PM PST reply actions
It is time for him to go...
Wilner can be a troll some times, but he is dead on with this one. Dawkins’ teams have a tendency to start fading mid-way through the season, and they tend to lose games due to problems that are very much about coaching (turnovers, free throws, dumb plays). He may be a good recruiter and he may find success somewhere else later, but I don’t see any evidence that he has what it takes to be a successful head coach at Stanford.
by RickeySteals on Feb 10, 2025 2:31 PM PST reply actions
Don't think free throws are about coaching
I do think Dawkins’s inability to put out a proper lineup and his inability to call timeouts at the proper time are. Unless he’s got a hell of a finish to the Pac-12 season, he should be tossed.
by dth1 on Feb 10, 2025 3:58 PM PST up reply actions
In calm moments I think that Dawkins was right to demand a 6-year contract (which is what I recall) because it’ll probably take that long to truly rebuild the program. Or it’ll take him that long to get the head coaching thing down.
Then I see Mann or Powell terminate their dribble behind the 3-pt line, look around, notice nobody’s guarding them, and heave the ball in the vicinity of the backboard (really, does anyone in D1 hoops have a more spastic stroke than Dwight?), and I think, what kind of half-assed coach would let that happen more than once a season? Toss the bum already!
I too wonder about the style/system he’s trying to run. Instead of modeling it on Duke, I’d say Butler’s approach would work better at Stanford. Brad Stevens would be the perfect Cardinal coach. Of course, every other school that doesn’t have an established star at the helm or an up-and-comer thinks the same thing.
by Cardinal&Orange; on Feb 10, 2025 9:26 PM PST reply actions
In the interest of fairness, I have been on the side of keeping him, but given the glimpse of over-performance we’ve seen from the team this season, I think Dawkins’ excuses are not sufficient. We know how they can perform, and they’re just simply not meeting expectations. And I blame Dawkins for that. He should be fired at the end of the season.
by CardiGrl on Feb 11, 2025 4:19 PM PST reply actions









