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Predicting Stanford's 2012 Football Season (in January)

We'll continue to look back on the 2011 season over the next few weeks, but let's briefly take a look ahead to next season and wonder how Stanford will navigate its ridiculously awful 2012 football schedule. Not knowing who will replace Andrew Luck at quarterback -- and how good he is -- is just one of the many factors that makes this exercise silly. That hasn't stopped us before. To the picks!

Sept. 1: vs. San Jose State

Win. The Spartans showed marked improvement in head coach Mike MacIntyre's second year at the helm, winning five games, including their first conference road win since 2008. Still, Stepfan Taylor should feast on the San Jose State rushing defense, which allowed more than 200 yards per game this season.

Sept. 8: vs. Duke

Win. Duke was competitive in most games, but the Blue Devils lost seven straight to end the season. Rising senior Sean Renfree is one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country, but this game shouldn't be close.

Star-divide

Sept. 15: vs. USC

Loss. If the Trojans beat the Cardinal and the students aren't there to see it, does the game count? Unfortunately yes. I'd like Stanford's chances against USC better if the game was later in the year and Luck's replacement had a few more games under his belt.

Sept. 22: BYE

Sept. 27: at Washington

Win. Keith Price looked like the real deal in the Alamo Bowl, though the Baylor defense -- or lack thereof -- probably had something to do with it. The Stanford defense should be even better next year and the Cardinal ground attack shouldn't encounter much resistance in Seattle, even if it doesn't set another single-game rushing record.

Oct. 6: vs. Arizona

Win. Rich Rod may turn the Wildcats around, but he won't do it overnight.

Oct. 13: at Notre Dame

Loss. Neither team knows who their quarterback will be next season. So long as it isn't the difference between making a BCS bowl or not, I might trade a Stanford win in South Bend for two Stanford losses elsewhere.

Oct. 20: at Cal

Win. What, you need a reason?

Oct. 27: vs. Washington State

Win. Mike Leach may turn the Cougars around, but he won't do it overnight.

Nov. 3: at Colorado

Win. I'm rooting for snow football.

Nov. 10: vs. Oregon State

Win. The Red Zone should be amped up and at full capacity for the third and final time in 2012.

Nov. 17: at Oregon

Loss. De'Anthony Thomas could have 30 touchdowns headed into this game.

Nov. 24: at UCLA

Win. Jim Mora may turn the Bruins around, but -- wait, no he won't.

Final Record: 9-3

Not too shabby, huh? By August, 9-3 could seem like a crazy stretch or just about right. We should have a little better idea after the Spring Game, which seems like forever from now. What do you think?

Poll
Not including a potential bowl game, how many games will Stanford win in 2012?
10+
31 votes
9
39 votes
8
68 votes
7
16 votes
6
2 votes
0-5
6 votes

162 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

Display:

Vs. USC

I don’t mind the relatively early big game. Playing USC, whose fans travel better than anyone in the Pac 12, before school starts, is insane. Too many commas in that last sentence, but I don’t care. that’s crazy.

by porters on Jan 5, 2026 11:47 AM PST reply actions  

yep

Not to mention that a significant portion of USC alums live in the Bay. And you know they’ll mobilize en masse next season since they’re all out of the closet again. Ugh, I hate USC.

by CardiGrl on Jan 5, 2026 11:52 AM PST up reply actions  

Seems about right

I’ve been saying 9 wins since before the schedule was released. I mean, really, there are 5-7 teams we’ll still be flat out better than, 2-3 we might be flat out worse than (hedge in case of dramatic improvement by someone), and a few close ones. 9 wins is what I think we’ll get, 8 would be understandable (new QB costs us early Big Game, etc), and 10 would take something exciting/crazy. Higher/lower possible but less likely.

by stupac2 on Jan 5, 2026 11:53 AM PST reply actions  

9 would be great

8 seems realistic, but 7 is also within the realm of possibility.

A lot of it hinges on the new players in the secondary. Despite their progress the last few years, the D has always struggled with good passing teams and/or teams that are fast around the edge, and there are a lot of those on the schedule. Oregon and USC for sure, but both Washington State and Zona will be pass heavy as well. If the secondary can adjust to two new safeties and tighten up its tackling/coverage, that will go a long way toward ensuring a successful season.

by RickeySteals on Jan 5, 2026 12:17 PM PST reply actions  

Tough Schedule

High Chance at Loss:
USC (new QB vs Matt Barkley and highly rated/touted USC, no students)
Oregon (away game)
Washington (Price is the real deal, this is a Thursday night game on the road, which I have seen go very poorly in my other life as a Florida State football fan)

Moderate Chance at Loss:
at Notre Dame
at Cal

Lower Chance at Loss (I see at least one of the new coaches getting us):
Arizona (Rich Rod)
Washington State (Leach)
UCLA (on the road, end of season, Jim Mora has had the whole season to get his team ready)

Minimum 3 losses, Maximum 6 losses

I’ll take the middle and round down (because I think our defense will be good), 8-4

by cardinole on Jan 5, 2026 12:27 PM PST reply actions  

Well, I like our chances better

Now that Texas A&M hired Brian Polian. Thanks Aggies!

!

by dth1 on Jan 5, 2026 3:54 PM PST reply actions  

i will go with 10 wins

Why? Because I am an optimist.

"I... am a librarian." - Evelyn from "The Mummy"

by Anonymous IV at Mono Lake on Jan 5, 2026 10:50 PM PST reply actions  

I think 9-3 is quite optimistic

With players going out, new ones come in… but, losing Luck, DeCastro/Martin, Howell/Thomas, possibly C. Thomas, among others… don’t know what to expect from Nottingham or whoever may be the starter.

Hate to be pessimistic, but I’d predict a 7-5 season. Depending on what changes or who stays, I might go 8-4.

On a brighter note: BARRY SANDERS… hopefully.

by TheFreakSFG on Jan 6, 2026 1:59 AM PST reply actions  

Optimism now

Realism, if necessary, after the Spring Game.

Right now, I think 8-4 or 9-3 is most likely. I voted for 9 wins, but could see 7-5, maybe even easier than I could see 10-2. I’m hoping CT returns and the new QB impresses. I’d love to have a reason to bump up my predicted win total in August.

by Scott Allen on Jan 6, 2026 8:56 AM PST up reply actions  

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