BCS Watch: Stanford Could Play in National Championship Game
So you're telling me there's a chance?
Yes, albeit a small one, and you don't have to take my word for it.
I'm getting ahead of myself, I know. There's no guarantee that Stanford will be in the top four when the updated BCS standings are released tonight. The Cardinal, which is sixth in the most recent standings, should move ahead of Boise State and LSU. The Broncos and Tigers are currently fourth and fifth, respectively, but both teams lost this weekend. The only threat to Stanford moving into the top four--behind Oregon, Auburn, and TCU--and guaranteeing itself a BCS bid is the Big Red Score Scoring Machine in its rear-view window.
Wisconsin, which has put up 83, 48, and 70 points in the last three games, is within .075 points of the Cardinal in this week's BCS standings. It would be criminal if the Badgers jumped Stanford (they needed a blocked extra point to beat Arizona State and that win at Iowa is looking less and less impressive), but this is the BCS, and more ridiculous things have happened.
Wilner weighs in on the possibility, however slim, of Stanford being left out of the top four and outlines Stanford's BCS bowl scenarios. The synopsis:
- If Oregon and Auburn win next week, they will meet in the National Championship Game and TCU will play in the Rose Bowl.
- If Stanford finishes outside of the top four, it could wind up in the Alamo Bowl. (Worst. Case. Scenario. DIE, BCS. DIE!)
- Assuming Stanford finishes in the top four, it is guaranteed to play in the Sugar Bowl, Orange Bowl, or Fiesta Bowl.
- The Sugar Bowl appears likely to pick Arkansas and Ohio State.
- The Orange Bowl has the next at-large selection to match against the ACC champion (Florida State or Virginia Tech). The Orange Bowl could take the Big East champion (West Virginia or Connecticut) instead of Stanford if it thinks the Big East champ would attract a bigger crowd. As Wilner mentions, a West Virginia vs. Virginia Tech matchup would be tough to turn down.
- If the Orange Bowl takes the Big East champ, Stanford will play in the Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Ariz., on Jan. 1 against the Big 12 champion, which could be one of four teams depending on today's updated BCS standings.
Stanford could still play in the Rose Bowl if Auburn loses to South Carolina in next week's SEC Championship game and TCU moves into the National Championship Game. If Auburn loses to South Carolina and Oregon loses to Oregon State, there's a chance Stanford could play TCU for the BCS title. Yes, I'm telling you there's a chance. Stay tuned.
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Orange Bowl rep at walk yesterday
Spotted by my buddies in an orange jacket. The Fiesta scenario makes a lot of sense. I went to the Sun Bowl last year, and playing Okla again would be a ton of fun and a great game! Their fans are friendly. I was next to one of the “roughnecks” in the men’s room and he explained their role in taking around the schooner; and then he said: “What’s up with the tree?” Try to explain that in the time it takes to pee.
by Gus Zernial on Nov 28, 2025 10:22 AM PST reply actions
Yeah, the Orange Bowl rep was definitely there. I think I saw the Alamo Bowl representative there as well.
by RedOscar on Nov 28, 2025 1:41 PM PST up reply actions
Stanford got jumped
in the AP and Coaches poll by Wisconsin, Harris isn’t out yet I don’t think. It would be pretty lame to finish 5th in the BCS as Wisc is already in the Rose Bowl, and having Furd finish 5th rather than 4th drops you out of the BCS. I totally think that you guys are a top 4 team, and think you could handle any team in the nation, including my Ducks, on any given Saturday.
However, no offense, but the fan base is pathetic and if you finish 5th there is no way that you get an at large bid. Not being able to sell out at home when you are a top 10 team means you’ll send at most 20,000 fans to your bowl game, so no one wants you as an at large. As it is totally at the selection committee’s discretion if ’Furd finishes 5th…
by OregonNYC on Nov 28, 2025 11:00 AM PST reply actions
We didn't get "jumped" in either of the polls.
Stanford was behind Wisconsin in both the AP and Coaches poll last week (http://espn.go.com/college-football/rankings//poll/1/week/13 and /poll/2/week/13)" target="_blank">http://espn.go.com/college-football/rankings/_/poll/2/week/13) and we’re still behind this week.
In fact, we gained some ground on them.
by ZiK on Nov 28, 2025 11:14 AM PST up reply actions
You are exactly right.
I view those results as a slight plus. Also ESPN has us going to fourth.
by Gus Zernial on Nov 28, 2025 11:20 AM PST up reply actions
That's new
Since when do Duck fans refer to the Cardinal as ’Furd? Is that a byproduct of losing to Stanford last year?
by RedOscar on Nov 28, 2025 1:42 PM PST up reply actions
As further evidence
as to why Stanford wont be offered an at large bid, your game day thread had 70 comments. ATQ (Oregon’s SB) has over 2,000 on Pre, During, and Post Game threads for our game. Better hope the Harris and BCS Computers have you 4th, I’d love to see this very deserving team in a BCS game.
by OregonNYC on Nov 28, 2025 11:06 AM PST reply actions
Sigh...
… you’re comparing the commenting activity of a blog that’s been around for a few months to a blog that’s been around for several years? You’re not making much of an argument for me to pay attention to any of your other comments with ones as ridiculous as this.
by RickeySteals on Nov 28, 2025 11:10 AM PST up reply actions
If SB Nation Game Thread comments are factored in...
Stanford has a great chance of passing TCU. The Horned Frogs don’t yet have a blog on the network.
by Scott Allen on Nov 28, 2025 11:21 AM PST up reply actions
Well then...
… clearly TCU shouldn’t be in the BCS! Their fan base is so pathetic that they can’t even come up with someone to run a blog!
by RickeySteals on Nov 28, 2025 11:27 AM PST up reply actions
Obvious troll is obvious
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
by PaulThomas on Nov 28, 2025 11:42 AM PST up reply actions 2 recs
It's a lot easier to create a gigantic fan base when your school has admissions standards that let in the entire state of Oregon.
Just pointing out the obvious.
But thanks for your other kind words, OregonNYC. Much appreciated from a national championship-caliber Oregon team.
by CardiGrl on Nov 28, 2025 11:51 AM PST up reply actions
Admission standards are completely irrelevant.
[Insert BCS school here] has a larger alumni base than Stanford. [Insert BCS school here] has a larger fan base than Stanford. The end.
As RedOscar and several other commenters pointed out previously, non-alumni fans factor in, too, and Stanford doesn’t have a whole lot of those compared to most schools. That’s not to say Stanford wouldn’t sell out its allotment of tickets…
by Scott Allen on Nov 28, 2025 12:06 PM PST up reply actions
I think it really depends on which game it is
The Rose or Fiesta bowls, Stanford will sell out easily. The Orange bowl would be a much harder sell. The Sugar bowl would probably sell out, but it will be tougher (even though NOLA is a huge draw).
Don’t forget that the academic quarter typically starts back up the Monday after New Years… some of the students will factor that in when considering whether to go. Additionally, plane tickets to Miami/New Orleans are far more expensive than ones to LA or Arizona (both of which are also a reasonable drive). When Stanford last went to the Rose bowl, the student attendance at the game was huge…
by RickeySteals on Nov 28, 2025 12:17 PM PST up reply actions
Go Tree!!!
Hope you get #4!
4 minutes is no problem for an "elite defense."
by BigGreenWreckingMachine on Nov 28, 2025 5:18 PM PST reply actions
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